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Showing posts with label Astronomy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Astronomy. Show all posts

Monday, November 14, 2016

Apogee and Perigee of Moon and Super (Duper) Moon



The Moon’s distance from Earth varies due to its elliptical orbit around the Earth. So, when the Moon can be at closest of farthest point from Earth.

Apogee is the farthest point from the Earth whereas Perigee is the closest point from the Earth. When at Perigee, the closest point, Moon appears larger than normal.

Supermoon is the coincidence of a Full Moon (or New Moon or Poornima) and also the Moon is at Perigee. The technical term is Perigee-syzygy of the Earth-Moon-Sun system. The opposite of Supermoon is Micromoon.

Most of us have studied or heard that Moon have an effect of tides due to its gravitational pull. So the Perigee and Apogee phenomena will have an effect on the tides on Earth.

Does this Apogee and Perigee phenomena effects Stock Markets?

Yes.

This effect has been proved by many, both pictorially and statistically. So, why am I doing it again?

To know the reason, go through all the images.

BTW, I too, will be watching this astronomical phenomenon. J

Below are the self explanatory images.

The first image shows the distance of Moon from Earth with Apogee and Perigee. 
















Many people (traders) thus use Moon’s distance from Earth to determine the trend reversal. The Apogee and Perigee points or date with +/- 1 day has shown trend reversal. See below image. I have used NIFTY50 Index for the same.



Now coming to another point, this too can be used as a probable trend reversal point.
Note the distance of Moon at Perigee/Apogee and also at Apogee/Perigee. Find the mid-point of this. Now, when Moon is that much farthest from Earth, we get a trend reversal. This need to be calculated for each cycle.

Example:

On April 30, 2015, Moon was at a distance of 405085 km from Earth. This was the Apogee Point. On May 16, 2015, Moon was at Perigee with a distance of 366084.67 km. The Mid-Point will 385584.85 km. Moon crossed this distance somewhere around May 7, 2015. And we got a low on this date!!!

The Mid-Point value can be obtained by doing simple mathematics. Find the difference of two extreme values and either subtract it from the highest value of add to the lowest value. :)

See the below image to have a clear idea.


 











Most of the time, the Mid-Point has given trend reversal.




 

Friday, September 25, 2015

George Bayer Rule No. 2A OR VENUS - Heliocentric Latitude (Method - 2)



I hope all of you have understood the previous method of using Heliocentric Latitude of Venus to find the CITs (Turning Points or Turning Dates or Trend Reversal Dates). There is another method, using the Heliocentric Latitude of Venus to find the same.

This method is from Stock and Commodity Trader’s Hand-book of Trend Determination by George Bayer. This is Rule No. 2A. (Page No. will vary depending upon the version which you have. ;) )

Measure from important tops or bottoms by using Venus in heliocentric position. Project from such tops or bottoms the value of 4° 58'. During certain periods I found that 4° 52' would be more advantageous, but the difference is so small it is not important .....

The decimal equivalent of 4° 58' is 4.96667 and that of 4° 52' is 4.86667. The difference between these 2 values is of 0.1. I have used 4.96667 for the demonstrations.

And the maximum latitude value of Venus, southwards is -3.39492 and northwards is 3.39495

Coming to steps…..

Take any significant (I have dropped the word "important") low or high. Note down the value heliocentric latitude. 

If the value is negative, then add 4.96667 to it. If the value if positive, the substract it from 4.96667. If this value is lesser or greater then the max. value of -3.39492/3.39495, then add/substract the max. value respectively.

We got a positive answer. Now put a negation (minus) sign to it. Now we have 2 values, answer value and answer value with negation sign. Check when Venus crosses these latitude values, in future. Those dates will be CITs or trend change dates or turning dates.

On 17-Oct-2014, Nifty made a low; the latitude of Venus was 2.90275. Being a positive value, we will substract it from 4.96667, which gives 2.06392. Another value will be -2.06392. Below image is self explanatory. 



 L1 and L2 lines are for 2.06392 and -2.06392 respectively. A, B, C, D, E, F (Red Vertical Lines) are the days when Venus crossed the lines L1 and L2. G is the day coming on 02-Oct-2015, Friday, a holiday when Indian Market will be closed. So we should consider the next trading session, which will be on 05-Oct-2015, Monday. (Sometimes NSE trades on Saturday’s. If this happens then we will need to check it on 03-Oct-2015)

The Blue vertical lines are for the maximum latitude value, both sides. These too are important for trend reversals. 














The below image is of RELIANCE. Here I have shown how the ZERO Line too, gives us trend reversal indicated by Magenta vertical lines. The next ZERO Line crossing is on Sunday, 27-Oct-2015, so will take 28-Oct-2015. And the next L1 and L2 crossing, derived from the low of 14-Jan-2015 will be on 09-Oct-2015 and 13-Nov-2015.